Transatlantic 2020: A Tale of Four Futures

Daniel Hamilton and Kurt Volker, Editors

What deep currents are likely to affect Europe and the United States over the next decade? Will they draw Europeans and Americans together or drive them apart?

This new book CTR's Daniel Hamilton and Kurt Volker offer four futures for the transatlantic relationship, each exploring how trends evident today could interact and evolve to shape the world we live in tomorrow. The four tales each provide a lively, yet profoundly different trajectory for Europe, America, and the transatlantic partnership, as well as lessons for contemporary policy choices.

Leading experts discuss and explain issues ranging from demography, energy and economic crises to security, societal resilience and the rise of new powers.

Contributing authors include:

James Dobbins
Giovanni Grevi
Carl Haub
Bruce W. Jentleson
Reiner Klingholz
Bengt-Åke Lundvall
Andrew Mack
Shakuntala Makhijani
Hanns W. Maull
Alexander Ochs
Michael F. Oppenheimer
Demetrios G. Papademetriou
Madeleine Sumption
Christof van Agt
Theo Veenkamp
Richard Youngs

The book is the result of a unique transatlantic foresight project conducted by the Center for Transatlantic Relations together with the Finnish Ministry for Foreign Affairs and the Heinrich-Böll Stiftung.

Read the book here.

Introduction and the four futures

Chapter 1: The Rise of New Powers: Implications for the Transatlantic World

Chapter 2: The U.S. and Europe Face the BRICs: What Kind of Order?

Chapter 3: Normative Future: A U.S. Perspective

Chapter 4: What Norms for a New-Order Transatlantic Relationship? European Perspectives

Chapter 5: Europe's Demographic Future: At the Edge of the Post-Growth Society

Chapter 6: Demographic Factors Affecting the Transatlantic Partners

Chapter 7: Human Mobility in the United States and Europe to 2020

Chapter 8: The Rise of Anti-Immigration Populism in Europe and the Future of European Capitalist Democratic Society: An Exploration

Chapter 9: Alternating Currents: How Global and Domestic Energy Trends will Affect the European Union, the United States, and the Transatlantic Partnership in 2020

Chapter 10: Buying Time: Energy and the Art of Sustainable Advancement in Transatlantic Relations